Tag Archives: Free Stuff

The Day of American Austerity: What Will It Look Like?

In the United States, the belt-tightening has just begun

By Elliott Wave International

Since the start of the European sovereign debt debacle, the word “austerity” has been bandied about a lot.

It wasn’t an everyday word, and may send some people to the dictionary. Merriam-Webster defines “austerity” this way: enforced or extreme economy.

But even knowing this definition might leave one wondering how “austerity measures” relate to Europe’s debt crisis. The Associated Press (5/13) provided this overview:

Austerity has been the main prescription across Europe for dealing with the continent’s nearly 3-year-old debt crisis, brought on by too much government spending. But what does it mean for the average European? Imagine paying sales tax of 23 percent or more. Or having your wages cut by 15 percent. Austerity comes in many forms: higher taxes, fewer state benefits, more job cuts, working longer until retirement, you name it.

How about America? Will austerity measures be imposed on the world’s largest economy? Well, a Marketwatch columnist says “America’s new Age of Austerity is already here…Yes, America is already in a depression.” (5/29)

We agree. In fact, Robert Prechter said as much in the September 2011 Elliott Wave Theorist:

Bulls say the economy is in recovery, albeit a weak one. Bears are calling for a “double dip” recession, like the back-to-back recessions of 1980 and 1982. But, as is often the case, we disagree with both camps: The economic contraction of 2007-2009 was not a recession; the respite since then is not the start of a new economic expansion; and the economy is not going to have another “dip” into recession. The economy has been sliding into depression.

The signs of an American austerity are becoming widely visible. And nowhere is this belt-tightening more evident than in state and local governments. Recent years have seen a multitude of stories that describe reduced services. And in the overall economy, we’re seeing a de-leveraging of debt. Unemployment remains relatively high. Here’s a CNBC headline from today (5/30):

Sign of the Times: 20,000 Apply for 877 Auto Job Openings

This story about a new automobile plant in Montgomery, Alabama is one of many like it that feature jobless or under-employed individuals standing in line.

Above I showed the September 2011 quote from Robert Prechter. Yet he actually foretold much of what is financially happening today in his 2002 book Conquer the Crash.

That’s right. Ten years ago, he described what this age of austerity would look like. Much of what he described looks just like what is going on today. But how about the rest of what’s described in Conquer the Crash?

Yes, there’s more. You see, Prechter pointed out much more than what unfolded in the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Do yourself the biggest of favors and learn what he has to say. Be one of the few who are prepared vs. the majority who will be caught off-guard.

How? Right now, Elliott Wave International is offering a special FREE report with 8 lessons from Conquer the Crash to help you prepare for your financial future.

In this 42-page report, you’ll get valuable lessons on:

  • What to do with your pension plan
  • How to identify a safe haven (a safe place for your family)
  • What should you do if you run a business
  • Calling in loans and paying off debt
  • Should you rely on the government to protect you?
  • Money, Credit and the Federal Reserve Banking System
  • Can the Fed Stop Deflation?
  • A Short List of Imperative Do’s and Don’ts

It’s not too late to prepare yourself for what’s ahead. Get Your FREE 8-Lesson Conquer the Crash Report Now

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline The Day of American Austerity: What Will It Look Like?. EWI is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

Position Yourself for the Rest of “Conquer the Crash”

The earlier you prepare, the better
May 23, 2012

By Elliott Wave International

To this day, I wonder why Robert Prechter’s book Conquer the Crash has not been more widely recognized. It described in advance much of what happened in the 2008 financial crisis.

Published in 2002, the book provided detailed descriptions of then-future economic scenarios. They were detailed vs. general. Prechter was specific in a way that would prove right or wrong; there was no gray.

This is from the book:

There are five major conditions in place at many banks that pose a danger: (1) low liquidity levels, (2) dangerous exposure to leveraged derivatives, (3) the optimistic safety ratings of banks’ debt investments, (4) the inflated values of the property that borrowers have put up as collateral on loans and (5) the substantial size of the mortgages that their clients hold compared both to those property values and to the clients’ potential inability to pay under adverse circumstances. All of these conditions compound the risk to the banking system of deflation and depression.

Conquer the Crash, second edition, (p. 179)

That’s just one excerpt about one topic in a 456-page text. Perhaps you see why I believe the book deserves more credit. Yet even that one paragraph from the book turned out to be a virtual mirror of what came to pass. And much of what he predicted is unfolding today: the JPMorgan trading fiasco, massive withdrawals at Greek banks, downgrades of Italian and Spanish banks and much more. Those are just a few headlines.

The broader point is that Conquer the Crash prepared its readers. Around the time the book’s second edition published in 2009, the Chicago Sun-Times remarked

And the credit implosion is still not over. Please take a look at the chart:

In the Conquer the Crash quote in the first part of this article, you’ll notice the last three words are “deflation and depression.”

The world has yet to completely pass through these economic valleys.


It’s not too late to prepare yourself for what’s ahead

Elliott Wave International is offering a special free report with 8 lessons from Conquer the Crash to help you prepare for your financial future. In this 42-page report, you’ll get valuable lessons on what to do with your pension plan, what to do if you run a business, how to handle calling in loans and paying off debt, a list of imperative do’s and don’ts, plus much more.

Get Your FREE 8-Lesson Conquer the Crash Report Now >>

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Position Yourself for the Rest of “Conquer the Crash”. EWI is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

Credit Crisis: Are We Set Up for The Perfect Storm?

Robert Prechter discusses what’s backing your dollars
January 26, 2012

By Elliott Wave International

In this video clip, taken from Robert Prechter’s interview with The Mind of Money, Prechter and host Douglass Lodmell discuss “real” money vs the FIAT money system, and what is backing your dollars under our current system. Enjoy this 4-minute clip and then watch Prechter’s full 45-minute interview here >>

Watch the full 45-minute interview FREE

Get even more valuable insights as Mind of Money host Douglass Lodmell interviews Elliott Wave International’s President, Robert Prechter, about how to keep your money safe, the deflation versus inflation debate, and many more topics that are critical to your financial future.

Start watching the free 45-minute interview now >>


What Is Backing Your Deposits in the Bank?

By Elliott Wave International

Is the bank really the safest place to keep your money? Robert Prechter joins the Mind of Money host Douglass Lodmell to discuss what backs bank deposits and how you can keep your hard-earned money safe.

We invite you to watch the interview below. Then read Robert Prechter’s free report, Discover the Top 100 Safest U.S. Banks.

What is the best course of action to safeguard your money?

Read our free 10-page report, Discover the Top 100 Safest U.S. Banks, to learn:

  • The 5 major conditions at many banks that pose a danger to your money.
  • The top two safest banks in your state.
  • Bob Prechter’s recommendations for finding a safe bank.
  • And more!

Download your free report, Discover the Top 100 Safest U.S. Banks, now.

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline What Is Backing Your Deposits in the Bank?. EWI is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

America’s Biggest Banks: How Safe Are They?

“The Coming Worldwide Bank run”

By Elliott Wave International

Lost in the clamor over the central banks’ “let there be liquidity” pronouncement, Standard & Poor’s just downgraded fifteen major U.S. and European banks.

The downgrade doesn’t mean Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Barclays, UBS, Wells Fargo and others will close shop tomorrow. But the long-term credit downgrade does raise questions about their stability.

After all, the 2007-2009 financial crisis has supposedly passed. But during the two-year “recovery,” did most big banks really return to sound fiscal health? Well, Standard & Poor’s downgrade speaks for itself.

One reason for the downgrades was Standard & Poor’s own revision to its rating system. Nonetheless, CNBC reported (11/29), “The outcome of the re-rating of the biggest banks was worse than S&P has forecast for all banks.”

And apparently, the big banks were in worse shape in 2008 than most people realized. Thanks to the Freedom of Information Act, Bloomberg just revealed that banks got more bailout money from the Federal Reserve than was previously made public:

“The Fed didn’t tell anyone which banks were in trouble so deep they required a combined $1.2 trillion on Dec. 5, 2008, their single neediest day. Bankers didn’t mention that they took tens of billions of dollars in emergency loans at the same time they were assuring investors their firms were healthy.”
— Bloomberg, November 28

And in light of the downgrades, what does this revelation say about assurances of financial stability that come from the banks today?

Please consider this insightful excerpt from the September Elliott Wave Theorist:

“The Coming Worldwide Bank run”
“In the late 1990s and mid 2000s, the loan-to-deposit ratio for U.S. banks was nearly 1.00, meaning that almost all deposits were lent out. That shortfall alone was a serious problem, because if even 5% of depositors had decided to withdraw their money, banks would have been unable to pay. Some of the banks’ loans were quickly callable, but by 2006, the credit-fueled real estate boom had claimed a large percentage of outstanding loans, both inside and outside the banking system. These loans are not quickly callable. The problem was serious in 2002 and enormous in 2006. Now it has become acute, because many loans are becoming fossilized, as the market for mortgage investing has dried up while foreclosures on the ‘collateral’ have been slowed by court actions and politics.

“The specter of a banking panic has become far darker since the collateral for bank deposits — land and buildings — has fallen globally in value at the steepest rate since the Great Depression. One day this shortfall in collateral value will impress itself on people’s minds, and there will be an unprecedented run on banks around the globe…. Yes, I know about the FDIC, but I don’t believe it will be able to fulfill its promises when most banks go bust.”

Notice the phrase in the last sentence of the quote, “most banks” This obviously implies that some banks are safer than others.

What is the best course of action to safeguard your money? Read our Free 10-page Report titled “Discover the Top 100 Safest U.S. Banks” to learn:

  • The top two safest banks in your state.
  • The 5 major conditions at many banks that pose a danger to your money.
  • Robert Prechter’s recommendations for finding a safe bank.
  • And more!

Download your free report now.

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline America’s Biggest Banks: How Safe Are They?. EWI is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

It’s FreeWeek at EWI: Get Complimentary Commodity Forecasts, Video Analysis, Trading Lessons and More!

Greetings!

Do you happen to be a trader like me? If so, please read on as I’ve got a special freebie to share with you.

Elliott Wave International has just announced the beginning of their popular commodity FreeWeek event, where non-subscribers can test-drive some of their most popular premium services.

Now through noon Thursday, October 27 (Eastern time), you’ll get complete access to all of EWI’s most-promising daily, weekly and monthly opportunities in the world’s leading commodities, plus all the charts, world-class analysis, video forecasts along with a treasure chest of trading lessons and more! (Subscribers normally pay $49/month for these services.)

Learn more and get instant access to EWI’s FreeWeek of commodity forecasts and trading education now — before the opportunity ends for good.

FreeWeek is one of EWI’s most popular programs, and it’s perfect for anyone curious about EWI’s subscription services.

Regards,

Alan

About the Publisher, Elliott Wave International

Founded in 1979 by Robert R. Prechter Jr., Elliott Wave International (EWI) is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.